Whos the #1 Pick in FantasyFootball?

DirtyHawgs · 08-09-2006, 02:42 PM

I've seen any of the big 3 go #1.. Which one you think will have the most productive fantasy year?

L. Johnson
L. Tomlinson
S. Alexander

.. If I had the #1 I'd probably go with L. Tomlinson. He's the safest pick IMO, since Alexander lost his big G (Steve Hutchinson). All should have good years, but I'd take Tomlinson personally.

kneelb4zod · 08-09-2006, 03:36 PM

No. I've written up a math equation to solve this puzzle:

Picking Larry Johnson >>> Blowing yourself up >>> Picking LT >>>>> Banging Fat chicks >>>> Picking Alexander

beano33 · 08-09-2006, 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kneelb4zod

No. I've written up a math equation to solve this puzzle:

Picking Larry Johnson >>> Blowing yourself up >>> Picking LT >>>>> Banging Fat chicks >>>> Picking Alexander

So who do you say? Clinton Portis?

Never have I seen every single #1 potential pick have possible issues as this year.

L. Johnson (loses 2 major O-linemen)
L. Tomlinson (loses star QB)
S. Alexander (loses 1 major O-linemen)

I prefer pick #3 so I can be left with whoever is left of the 3 as I have no preference.

Reaper45 · 08-09-2006, 03:50 PM

I grabbed Alexander, but I almost took LT.

inSTAALed · 08-09-2006, 05:20 PM

I go with either SA or LT if I get top 3.

Dr.Funk · 08-10-2006, 12:38 AM

Larry Johnson is the guy to grab.

JCD · 08-10-2006, 08:28 AM

Alexander.

Even if he only manages 75% of last year's production, that still makes him the best player on the board.

While LT and LJ remain top-3 studs, they have more concerns around them than losing a starting guard.
-LT lost Brees. Rivers has to prove himself in order for defenses to respect the passing game.
-LJ lost BOTH starting tackles AND his FB. Plus, LJ has less of a track record than the other guys.

My list:
1) Alexander
2) Tomlinson
3) Johnson

kneelb4zod · 08-10-2006, 04:24 PM

Everybody's made good points, but I think more reasonable expected numbers for Alexander would be 1500 yds and 16tds. That's about what he's averaged over the last 4 years.

Also when Priest and Emmitt posted huge TD numbers neither came remotely close to following that up the following year (Granted Priest got hurt).

I like Alexander the least of the 3.

Even in non-ppr leagues Tomlinson only trailed Alexander by about 15 points last season and Alexander broke the friggin TD record.

NH Patsfan · 08-10-2006, 10:57 PM

The problem I'm having is whose the 4th pick? Portis, Barber, Jordan?

JCD · 08-10-2006, 11:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kneelb4zod

Everybody's made good points, but I think more reasonable expected numbers for Alexander would be 1500 yds and 16tds. That's about what he's averaged over the last 4 years.

Also when Priest and Emmitt posted huge TD numbers neither came remotely close to following that up the following year (Granted Priest got hurt).

I like Alexander the least of the 3.

Even in non-ppr leagues Tomlinson only trailed Alexander by about 15 points last season and Alexander broke the friggin TD record.

I don't know how they score in your league, but if LT was within 15 points, you need your commish to check his math.

SA has 1958 combined yards and 28 TDs.
LT had 1832 yards with another 47 passing and 23 TDs with 3 of them passing.

Now, both are studs and worth picking 1st overall, but I can't see how you could be down on SA. He has never produced less than 1600 yards or 16 TDs since becoming the starter. Plus, while SA lost a guard (albeit a great one), LT lost his starting QB. Unless you are much higher on Rivers than I am, I can't see that as a positive.

More to a point, you premise is that when a star RB posts huge TD numbers, they never repeat. Well, shouldn't that hold true for LT as well? He notched a career-high last year, he too must be headed down.

The Shocker · 08-11-2006, 01:05 AM

I say LT over SA. How can you take someone 1st overall when they are on the cover of Madden!

Dr.Funk · 08-11-2006, 01:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NH Patsfan

The problem I'm having is whose the 4th pick? Portis, Barber, Jordan?

I've gone with Portis, but I hear that some of the other backs in Redskins camp are making some noise.

inSTAALed · 08-11-2006, 10:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Shocker

I say LT over SA. How can you take someone 1st overall when they are on the cover of Madden!

Agreed

Who Dat? · 08-11-2006, 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NH Patsfan

The problem I'm having is whose the 4th pick? Portis, Barber, Jordan?

Portis then Barber then one of either Edge, Jordan, Caddy, SJack or Ronnie Brown...don't be afraid to take Ronnie Brown as high as #6 overall.

08-09-2006, 02:42 PM	#1 (permalink)
DirtyHawgs Moderator Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Florida Posts: 261 vCash: 2000	Whos the #1 Pick in FantasyFootball? I've seen any of the big 3 go #1.. Which one you think will have the most productive fantasy year? L. Johnson L. Tomlinson S. Alexander .. If I had the #1 I'd probably go with L. Tomlinson. He's the safest pick IMO, since Alexander lost his big G (Steve Hutchinson). All should have good years, but I'd take Tomlinson personally.

08-10-2006, 04:24 PM	#8 (permalink)
kneelb4zod Walkon Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 28 vCash: 2000	Everybody's made good points, but I think more reasonable expected numbers for Alexander would be 1500 yds and 16tds. That's about what he's averaged over the last 4 years. Also when Priest and Emmitt posted huge TD numbers neither came remotely close to following that up the following year (Granted Priest got hurt). I like Alexander the least of the 3. Even in non-ppr leagues Tomlinson only trailed Alexander by about 15 points last season and Alexander broke the friggin TD record. __________________ Who is this God???? Not God.....ZOD!

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Posted By	For	Type	Date
Fantasy Football Forum [Archive] - Football Boards	This thread	Refback	09-08-2008 11:38 AM

08-09-2006, 03:36 PM	#2 (permalink)
kneelb4zod Walkon Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 28 vCash: 2000	No. I've written up a math equation to solve this puzzle: Picking Larry Johnson >>> Blowing yourself up >>> Picking LT >>>>> Banging Fat chicks >>>> Picking Alexander

08-09-2006, 03:50 PM	#4 (permalink)
Reaper45 Starter Join Date: Aug 2006 Age: 25 Posts: 106 vCash: 2000 NFL Team: San Diego Chargers NCAA Team: Notre Dame Fighting Irish	I grabbed Alexander, but I almost took LT.

08-09-2006, 05:20 PM	#5 (permalink)
inSTAALed Banned Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Holly Springs, NC Age: 17 Posts: 1 vCash: 2000 NFL Team: Carolina Panthers NCAA Team: Ohio State Buckeyes	I go with either SA or LT if I get top 3.

08-10-2006, 12:38 AM	#6 (permalink)
Dr.Funk Starter Join Date: Aug 2006 Age: 21 Posts: 127 vCash: 2000 NFL Team: Tennessee Titans	Larry Johnson is the guy to grab.

08-10-2006, 08:28 AM	#7 (permalink)
JCD All-Pro Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 856 vCash: 2000	Alexander. Even if he only manages 75% of last year's production, that still makes him the best player on the board. While LT and LJ remain top-3 studs, they have more concerns around them than losing a starting guard. -LT lost Brees. Rivers has to prove himself in order for defenses to respect the passing game. -LJ lost BOTH starting tackles AND his FB. Plus, LJ has less of a track record than the other guys. My list: 1) Alexander 2) Tomlinson 3) Johnson

08-10-2006, 10:57 PM	#9 (permalink)
NH Patsfan Backup Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Seacost, NH Posts: 57 vCash: 2000 NFL Team: New England Patriots NCAA Team: Notre Dame Fighting Irish	The problem I'm having is whose the 4th pick? Portis, Barber, Jordan?

08-11-2006, 01:05 AM	#11 (permalink)
The Shocker Backup Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: New Jersey Age: 19 Posts: 64 vCash: 2000 NFL Team: New York Giants NCAA Team: Georgia Bulldogs	I say LT over SA. How can you take someone 1st overall when they are on the cover of Madden!